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Trump trails all Democratic contenders in key Erie County

Bad news for President Trump today. According to a new poll of 454 registered voters in Erie County he's trailing every single Democratic contender.

Erie was one of three Pennsylvania counties that swung from Barack Obama to Trump in 2016.

If you believe Mercyhurst University's survey, it will swing back again in November.

Here are the results:

Mike Bloomberg beats Trump 51 percent to 41 percent (+10 points)

Bernie Sanders beats Trump 50 percent to 44 percent (+6 points)

Joe Biden beats Trump 48 percent to 44 percent (+4 points)

Amy Klobuchar beats Trump 46 percent to 42 percent (+4 points)

Pete Buttigieg beats Trump 46 percent to 42 percent (+4 points)

Elizabeth Warren beats Trump 46 percent to 45 percent (+1 point).

The poll was done before the Democratic debate - and results of caucuses - in Nevada last week. It has a margin of error of 4.6 points.

What's really interesting here is that voters don't seem to be giving Trump credit for what they recognize is a strong economy: 65 percent said the national economy was “excellent” or “good,” up 7 percent from September.

Of course, that could be because while they think the national economy is doing well, they don't think the local economy is: Only 32 percent said it was “excellent” or “good.” That is about a threefold increase since February 2017, but it's still a bad number for Trump.

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